I’ve finished reading the book, Surge. Some comments:
1. P has a direct staff of perhaps a dozen+ with distinct duties, and those duties take up all their time. Little overlap. There are as well protective staff, etc.
2. Yes, it is a matter of Anbar Awakening and P’s COIN strategy, and of course luck and … That it was not permanent, with Maliki going back to his ethnosectarian roots is a problem. The US is a remarkable country in its believe that none of those should define loyalty. We’ve worked hard of late to make that case for Muslim US citizens.
3. People worked very hard, subordinates were inventive, Odierno was a good complement to P, and lots of work needed to be done in DC so that the strategy was not undermined. It’s important to realize that just because you have the President on your back, does not mean subordinates with power will follow through. Admiral Fallon was especially difficult for the first half at least.
4. This is not a history. It is a memoir and chronology. Mansoor is now a professor of military history, but this would not quite qualify as such. There is no attempt to be unbiased.
5. Anyone who works for P, or for folks like him, should read this book. P is hard driving, hard working, and unrelenting, it would seem. He must have a flaw, but none revealed here. (The Paula Broadwell stuff does not count in my book—other than why do it on your office computer and file. Telephone from payphones, please. I have nothing to say about faithfulness, given what people do.)
What’s also interesting is that they went for three years without a successful strategy, until P offered one up. When you think about innovation and adoption, keep that in mind.
Yes, this was people intensive. But it depended on having all the best technology, MRAPs, communication gear, and various experts. I read an article recently that transformation was successful, in the initial taking over of Iraq. It then said the COIN failed since the subsequent years, post P, things fell apart again. I suspect this is not a good judgment. No one claims to be able to get rid of tribal and ethnosectarian conflict with COIN. You are just trying for some order and security. It took many wars and many dead for the Catholics and Protestants to make a peace in Europe, and in Ireland that is still shaky.